Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.025007 0.027438 0.029851 0.032423 0.035079 0.037739 0.040598
2025-02-02 0.020220 0.024153 0.028182 0.032591 0.037256 0.042024 0.047245
2025-02-09 0.016840 0.021580 0.026558 0.032113 0.038087 0.044275 0.051131
2025-02-16 0.014615 0.019965 0.025706 0.032219 0.039314 0.046738 0.055033
2025-02-23 0.012689 0.018488 0.024845 0.032164 0.040229 0.048743 0.058322
2025-03-02 0.010968 0.017096 0.023958 0.031973 0.040899 0.050397 0.061148
2025-03-09 0.009672 0.016093 0.023427 0.032104 0.041855 0.052298 0.064180
2025-03-16 0.008214 0.014783 0.022464 0.031679 0.042135 0.053410 0.066306
2025-03-23 0.007188 0.013927 0.021972 0.031743 0.042916 0.055033 0.068950
2025-03-30 0.006082 0.012882 0.021198 0.031433 0.043239 0.056116 0.070968
2025-04-06 0.005069 0.011873 0.020416 0.031073 0.043468 0.057064 0.072809
2025-04-13 0.003765 0.010333 0.018905 0.029798 0.042611 0.056767 0.073245
2025-04-20 0.003289 0.009986 0.018932 0.030418 0.044009 0.059082 0.076676
2025-04-27 0.002660 0.009353 0.018581 0.030589 0.044906 0.060858 0.079539
2025-05-04 0.001903 0.008388 0.017740 0.030122 0.045024 0.061725 0.081362
2025-05-11 0.001432 0.007819 0.017385 0.030225 0.045789 0.063306 0.083962
2025-05-18 0.000993 0.007199 0.016925 0.030172 0.046348 0.064634 0.086262
2025-05-25 0.000605 0.006549 0.016381 0.029986 0.046730 0.065744 0.088300
2025-06-01 0.000356 0.006103 0.016099 0.030114 0.047470 0.067250 0.090770
2025-06-08 0.000108 0.005411 0.015414 0.029699 0.047542 0.067973 0.092342
2025-06-15 0.000011 0.004995 0.015110 0.029761 0.048174 0.069330 0.094619
2025-06-22 NaN 0.004434 0.014545 0.029460 0.048350 0.070147 0.096273
2025-06-29 NaN 0.003887 0.013960 0.029109 0.048450 0.070862 0.097799